Kashmir unrest: Conflict between Modi and Mehbooba;Terror strikes and stone -pelters

Jammu and Kashmir has been trending for nearly a year for many reasons:

• Crisis in Kashmir due to protests by Kashmiri people including school girls and second attacks on Indian forces by Pakistani terrorists,
• Modi government’s failure to bring normalcy in Kashmir and to build trust with the Kashmiris, 
• not allowing the Mehbooba Mufti government to  hold a dialogue with the different sections of the people
• General Bipin Rawat , the chief of the Army staff ,warned the stone pelters against interfering with Army's operations

Conflict between Central govt and state govt over resolving Kashmir unrest

The protests started after the killing of Burhan Wani,a Kashmiri militant  and then the situation worsened and it took a drastic turn when a video of Army tying a civilian infront of jeep went viral depicting heavy handedness of Indian security forces. The Central government has also adopted tough line to deal with protesters.  as Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Home Minister Rajnath Singh declined Mehbooba Mufti ‘s suggestion for initiating a dialogue with the sections of the society including separatists saying that dialogue will .be a useless exercise when there is stone pelting  and increase in militant violence in the Valley

There is an anger among Kashmiris that has infused alienation in them . Mehbooba  has been clamoring  for help from Modi to help ease tensions in Kashmir but in vain.The latest decision of the Supreme court asking the government and the security forces to step back and hold dialogue . The union government made its stand clear  and reiterated that there will not be any talks with separatists  or those raising slogans of "accession or Azadi" in Jammu  and Kashmir and talks to restore normalcy was possible only with the legally recongnised stakeholders or political parties excluding separatists.

 

Pakistan has been contentiously raising the Kashmir issue at international forums and this time it was also raised in UN General Assembly session in New York .Minister in Pakistan's permanent mission to the UN Masood Anwar  raised the Kashmir issue in his statement to the UN General Assembly session of the Committee on information on April 25.

Modi government must understand the factors that led to such an unrest in Kashmir,consequences for the crisis to explode  and initiatives /steps to defuse the tensions .Adding fuel to fire was the historic low polling percentage in bypolls in Kashmir that recorded as low as 3%.

Modi government must understand the gravity of the situation  and resolve the issue lest it goes out of control.

Kashmir torn between Terror strikes V/s ISIS inspired youth

By adopting hard approach by government  more  and more youths are joining jihadist groups as there are some ISIS fighters working in Kashmir  and reports have emerged that Hizbul Mujahideen commander Zakir Rashid Bhat in his video stated that the militancy should not aim to create a new nation of Kashmir  or "Azadi" but for the supremacy of Islam.

The terrorists from Hafiz Saeed 's Jamaat-ud Dawa ,Lashkar-e- Taiba chief Zaki-ur-Rehman Lakhvi and Jaish-e-Mohammad have joined hands to organise and execute  terror strikes on military institutions and along the LOC in Jammu and Kashmir and targeting the Indian security forces.

Nikki Haley,the US ambassador to the UN has stated that US President Donald Trump is considering to mediate in resolving the Kashmir issue for defusing tensions between India  and Pakistan.

Recently, US State Department report on Human rights violation has accused “Indian forces of reaching a new low in the long history of alleged  human rights abuses  in Kashmir when they beat and then tied  a 24-year shawl weaver to the front of a jeep on April9 using him as a human shield against stone throwing crowds."

Trump’s diplomacy to resolve Israel-Palestine conflict

US President Donald Trump's Middle East policy is being aggressively formulated as his team is engaged in intense diplomacy with Palestine and Israel to resolve the Middle East conflict .

France Elections: Turning secularism to fundamentalist society to combat terrorism

The 2017 French presidential elections are historic and fascinating as it is seen as a litmus test on how populism has spread across the globe  and comparisons are  being drawn with Donald Trump’s victory in US Presidential elections and Britain’s departure from the European Union.

US, Russia, China's geopolitical game in Afghanistan

Russia has significantly registered its re-entry into Afghanistan region when it organised a major regional conference in Moscow where 12 countries including India, China, Pakistan, Iran and the Central Asian countries participated for stabilizing Afghanistan.

Trump, Putin move missiles for North Korean War

War clouds are gathering over North Korea as Pyongyang threatens to launch "all-out war" if United States goes ahead  with military action.The Pentagon and Trump administration are going to the point of brinkmanship in pressurising denuclearization of North Korea but officials fear that  any mishap in the shape of intercepting missiles  could lead to a sudden breakout  of war.

 

President Trump is working on several highly controversial options specifically military options against North Korea.But there is a general consensus among US,Japan and South Korea that all options are on the table including tougher sanctions.

 

The defence secretary,James Mattis has briefed all the options to the Congress
1) USS Carl Vinson nuclear carrier strike group that includes Aegis -equipped destroyers is on the way for deployment to waters off the Korean Peninsula.

2) ANother  top secret option is to assassinate North Korean leader Kim Jong un  who is highly unpredictable  and war-mongering leader.

3) There is also an option to shoot-down North Korean missile during a test
4) To allow US and South Korean special forces (Spartan) to perform a special task of sabotaging nuclear systems.
5) Japanese prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced emergency plans for refugees from the Korean Peninsula.

The tensions between North Korea and US and its allies escalated with the provocative statement from either side.

After visiting Demilitarized Zone,Vice President Mike Pence said," We will defeat any attack and we will meet any use of conventional or nuclear weapons with an overwhelming  and effective response."

North Korea's deputy UN ambassador Kim In Ryong threatened during a news conference that "US has turned the Korean Peninsula into the "the world's biggest hotspot" and creating a dangerous situation in which a thermonuclear war may break out at any moment."

 

As DPRK conducted two nuclear tests and 24 ballistic missile tests last year , Trump administration declared an end to Obama's " strategic patience policy."

If the Trump administration opts for any of the above said military alternatives  than it would risk  a high escalation that United States might not be able control  and that may lead to devastating consequences  to US and its allies South Korea  and Japan.

 

As Trump has asked Chinese President Xi Jinping to use its "unique influence" to persuade Pyongyang to abandon its nuclear weapons.

 

Another major dimension has emerged with Russia dispatching Vladivostok ,eight miles from the North Korean border.The Russian and Chinese navy ships have been seen shadowing US fleet that threatens North Korean.

The US President who launched 59Tomahawk missiles on Syria just two days after the chemical strike  and after one week US military dropped its largest non-nuclear bomb GBU-43B MOAB-Massive Ordinance Air Blast on an ISIS tunnel complex in eastern Afghanistan shows that US can impose military consequences for any step that North Korea takes which  Trump  has already described as "unacceptable".

Trump'sNSA McMaster assures the defeat of ISIS-K,Taliban in Afghanistan

 

 

 

As soon as US National Security Advisor General H.R. McMaster arrived in Afghanistan, he issued warning to the ISIS-K as well as to the members of Taliban who refuse to join the peace talks that they will be defeated on the battlefields.He was revealed that US President Donald Trump may explore diplomatic, military and economic responses to Taliban and ISIS in Afghan

Turkey's referendum :Erdogan's bid to consolidate perpetual power

 

With Turkey's historic referendum on 16th April, President Recep Tayyop Erdogan is poised to take a giant leap of enjoying vast dictatorial powers until at least 2029.

Syria's chemical attack reverses Trump's Foreign Policy

attack in the rebel -held  town of Khan Sheikhoun in Idlib province  that killed more than 80 people has dramatically reversed /changed the Trump's policies on many foreign issues that tagged him as a leader of change during campaigning.

Prospect of War between Nuclear Powers US and Russia over Syria crisis

The military strikes in Syria is set to acquire the shape of a war between two nuclear powers US and Russia as US allies defend Donald Trump's bombardment ,Russia and Iran -allies of Assad have threatened military retaliation against US stating "from now on we will respond with force " if US crosses red lines .

China's 'geopolitical threat' to India

China and India relations have already been deteriorating due to Beijing's adamant stand on not allowing the United nations to impose sanctions on Pakistan based Jaish-e-Mohammed chief Masood Azhar  including designate him as a terrorist and Tibetan spiritual Dalai Lama's upcoming visit  to Arunchal Pradesh  and Tawang Monastery

Trump plans to mediate in India-Pakistan matters shows Modi's incapability in handling Kashmir issue

 

 

With US envoy to the United Nations Nikki Haley's sudden announcement of President Trump himself intervening in resolving the India-Pakistan tensions shows that Pakistan has won the game of internationlizing the Kashmir issue when Indian Prime Minister  Narendra Modi is busy in state elections  and failed to calm down the rising sentiments of the Kashmiri people.

China's influence only option to rein in North Korea’s nuclear threat

 

 Ahead of his ensuing meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping  on 6th April,2017, President Donald Trump has spoken about his  policy of opting for a unilateral military action to tackle North Korean nuclear threat if China fails to rein in its reclusive neighbour Pyongyang.