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Feb 3, 2015

PM Modi to decide on India's leadership role in Asia

Expansionist designs of   Russia in Ukraine, China’s in South China Sea extending to the Middle East  and the imminent threat  from ultra jihadists  of Islamic State  across the world  have prompted  US President Barack Obama to designate  some countries  to re-balance Asia  in which India  occupies a strategic position.

Obama’s visit to India in January was apparently a part of his mission to re-balance  the entire Asian region  spreading from Far East  to Pacific. Engaged on this vision for the   last two years of his second term as President and  thus realizing the special status of India, Obama contemplated to stabilize  this region which is witnessing  fast changing  situations politically, security wise,rapidly increasing influence  of Muslim fundamentalism  as well as rapid race  among Asian powers  like China, Russia , Japan   and various leaderships in central Asia  and Persian Gulf  vis-a vis extreme form of  jihadi movements ( ISIS)  in Iraq  and Syria . These could be addressed  by giving prominent roles  to different  countries  commanding influence  over their  surrounding  territories  ,Obama thus offered  a role to India  in areas running from  Afghanistan  to Central Asia  and to Asia Pacific. This is quite evident from the US-India Joint Strategic Vision for Asia Pacific and the Indian Ocean Region, which reflects the intent of the two countries to shape the region.


India being on the threshold  of domestic transformation and desirous  of occupying  meaningful space in the regional and global front  in view of its size, largest democracy  in the world ,a strategic position  being Central  to Muslim world  on the West  and rising China in the East, has to occupy a special status .The  prominent role  being offered  by none other than the sole superpower  should be availed  by playing our cards  diplomatically . Already our country had been sidelined in almost all the matters  due to  blunders  of the Congress that ran the country after independence.  While Prime Minister Narendra Modi has already embarked  on making India  self reliant  in terms of  industrial, military  and on economic matters  so that it can exert its  due weight  in international matters  and global  economy. . Indian government  will have to adopt  austerity measures to fulfil this tedious task . This would be dealt on war footing .
Armed with six pont template ,External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj went to China to boost Sino-India ties and said Prime Minister Modi would make an "outcome driven visit" to China before the BJP-led government completes one year in office in May 2015.

Swaraj proposed the two countries should follow action oriented approach, broad base bilateral engagement, convergence of common, regional and global interests, develop new areas of cooperation, expand strategic communication, fullfill common aspirations to usher "Asian century".

Very wisely Modi has already initiated  his vision of conferring rights to Indian Diaspora living in any part of the world. Pledging to transform one trillion economy  to a 10 trillion Indian economy funds have started    flowing from  different parts of the world  by way of investments  in Indian developmental works.Keeping this in mind India should suitably  exert its weight in the neighbouring countries China, Japan andCentral Asia .

India should weigh pros and cons  of working alongwith  US  who can help us bestow permanent membership  in the United nations and a proper place  in the international monetary system rather than playing a subdued role  to ‘ rising China ‘ which  is  infact  implementing  expansionist  designs  and may damage India’s global ambitions  by implementing his own maritime silk route .

New Silk Route will  establish a Chinese foothold in the Indian Ocean.Xi called for the re-establishment of the old sea networks to create a twenty-first century "maritime Silk Road" to foster international connectivity, scientific and environmental research and fishery activities. But it appears to envisage a system of linked ports, infrastructure projects and special economic zones in Southeast Asia and the northern Indian Ocean -connecting Western China with South and Central Asia .

Through “New Silk Road Economic Belt” and the “Maritime Silk Road” projects, China’s hidden agenda appears  to expand Beijing's economic, political and strategic influence  not just to Central and Southeast Asia, but also in the Persian Gulf, and the Middle East as well.
China's assertive stance in the South and East China Seas  and the new Silk Road initiative provoked significant geopolitical apprehension among its neighbors -- including Japan, Vietnam, the Philippines and Singapore.

The falling economy of Russia  and slowdown in China in  view of its aging  population  should  be thoroughly examined .

Annoyed with US President Obama who selected India for a leadership role  in the region, China announced plans to invite Russian President Vladimir Putin during China's military parade to celebrate the 70th anniversary of the victories of World War II.

China usually holds a military parade every 10 years to celebrate the founding of the People's Republic of China since 1949.

To counter India's Obama braggadocio, Pakistan has invited Chinese President Xi Jinping to be the chief guest at Pakistan's national day celebrations next month. So one can clearly judge the changing equations and alliances in Asia between Russia , China  and Pakistan on one side.  Now,  which group should India join --  Indian population is not comfortable  with China.

At a time when no employment  is being created  only US can assist in bringing new jobs as well as in “Make in India”  policy initiative and enabling India's financial assistance..

Modi Government should thus be cautious  in  finalizing  the 65 year old contentious  border dispute  with China keeping in  mind  the national interests.

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