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Dec 29, 2012

Yearender 2012:World remained overcast with economic gloom,conflicts,political chaos


The happenings and problems  of the year 2011 persisted  alarmingly in the year 2012. As Global economy faces slowdown ,US president Barack Obama is struggling to deal with fiscal cliff and the Eurozone countries  are finding it tough to come out of the debt crisis
.While Mid-east and North African countries  are still to witness a democratic transition after the spring revolution.

Islamists are dominating the political landscape in Mid east with Muslim Brotherhood running the government in Egypt sidelining the Coptic Christians  and liberals of the Hosni Mubarak era. 

The constitution adopted in referendum in December with sharia laws shows  kleaning towards  radicalism.21 months  old unrest in Syria deteriorated  considerably with foreign terrorist  elements  as well as  al Qaeda linked  groups resulting in killings of over 4000o people.  

The situation  remains out of control with no end in sight.Palestine’s Hamas and Israel exchanged  missile strikes at an unprecedented  scale and war was averted  at the instance  of Egypt and US but the situation remains fragile. Iranian nuclear stand off still continues despite EU and US sanctions. 
US and West efforts to normalize the situation in Mid East fails  to materialize compounded  by fears of “Fiscal Cliff”. 
This situation  in Mid East hampered the implementation of US pivot to Asia particularly in the Asia Pacific region where China and other emerging economies are stealing a march over US failure to revive the economy. 
EU economic and sovereign debit crisis has driven Russia to seek closer relationship  with CIS  countries of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan  and closer diplomatic relations with the negihbouring  China .While Russia –EU  relationship are in doldrums.  
The sub-Saharan region of Africa continued to exist as a hot bed  of terrorism, piracy and religious violence. 
US and Afghan government reconciliation with Talibans  has not so far materialized and relying on Pakistan in this context when it is  itself in the grip of Taliban menace are likely to present grave problems. 
EGYPT 
After witnessing bloody uprising  in 2011,Egypt moved  few steps forward  in 2012 by conducting parliamentary election in January in which Islamist parties emerged as victorious and by conducting first free presidential polls inApril. 
In June Muslim brotherhood Candidate Mohamed Mursi narrowly won presidential election. 
In June Court sentenced ex president Hosni Mubarak  to life in prison in connection with the killing of protesters during the 2011 uprising.President Mursi ordered Parliament to meet in defiance of a military decree dissolving it in June.

To bring together all factions for a stable government in Egypt,new prime minister Hisham Qandil in August appointed a cabinet comprising members from the outgoing government, technocracts and Islamists excluding secular and liberal forces. 
President Mursi even dismissed Defence minister Tantawi  and  chief of staff Sami Annan and stripped military say in legislation and drafting  the new constitution. In foreign affairs , a rift emerged in relations with Saudi Arabia over the Saudi detention of an Egyptian lawyer. 
In November  
Egyptian President Mohamed Mursi played a key role in negotiating a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, the move caught many outside observers by surprise.Mursi  has won praise for his government's effort to bring about a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, a delicate balancing act for the country's nation's first freely elected leader.Mursi issued a decree stripping the judiciary of the right to challenge his decisions. 

After seeing unprecedented protests by united opposition and judiciary, Mursi  annuled decree  in December that expanded his powers.On Decmber 25th Egypt voters approved  overwhelmingly a constitution drafted by President Mohamed Mursi's allies and the government  imposed currency  restrictions  to cope with an economic  crisis worsened by weeks of  unrest.

SYRIA 
Despite the UN efforts , Syria continues to be in the grip of civil war like situation, further precipitated  by foreign militants from neighbouring countries. Russia, China efforts may have the potential of arresting further deterioration of  the  Syrian crisis .

FEB—Russia and China opposed UNSC draft resolution on Syria but in march UNSC endorsed  peace plan drafted  by UN envoy Kofi Annan.

May—Mass massacres came to light  in Houla near Homs  . In response to that, france, Uk, germany, italy, Spain, Canada and Australia expelled senior diplomats . In June Syrian president  Bashar Al Assad declares “real war “ 

Conflict between Syria and Turkey arises  as Syria shoots  down a Turkish Plane  that strayed  into its territory.To this act, Turkey changed  rules of engagement  with Syria and said if Syrians  army troops approach Turkey’s borders  they will be seen as  a military threat. 

In July  A suicide bomber detonated him self in the heart of the Syrian security services, resulting in the death of the country's defense minister and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's brother-in-law. The Free Syrian Army (FSA) claimed responsibility for the bombing of the national security headquarters in Damascus that killed at least three top regime officials. 
August—UN General Assembly  resolution demands  that president Assad  to resign..Bashar regime got another blow as prime minister Riad Hijab defects  
Veteran Algerian diplomat Lakhdar Brahimi appointed as  the new UN-Arab League envoy for Syria after the resignation of Kofi AnnanOctober---Ties between Turkey and Syria took a sharp turn for the worse when they engaged in sporadic cross-border shelling  in which  five civilians were killed in Turkey  
Turkey intercepted a Syrian passenger jet carrying what it said were Russian-made munitions for the Syrian army.

Syria banned  Turkish civilian flights  from flying over its territory after a similar move by Turkey on Syrian flights, as relations between the former allies continue to plunge to new depths.November :UN brobered ceasefire during the Islamic holiday of Eid –al-Adha breaks down as government continues attack.
Several  major opposition  forces unite as national coalition  for Syrian revolutionary and opposition Forces at meeting in Qatar  including the Syrian national council. 
The Syrian Arab Red Crescent estimates that 2.5 million people are internally displaced within Syria by civil war, doubling the previous figure of 1.2 million used by aid agencies. 
Israeli tanks hit Syrian units' in Golan Israel's military tanks  scored direct hits on Syrian artillery units in Golan Heights.It comes a day after Israel fired warning shots after it said a Syrian shell hit another of its army posts on the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.The episode is the most serious between the two countries since the Arab-Israeli war of 1973. 
December 29, 2012
US joins Britain, France, Turkey and Gulf states in formally  recognizing  Syria’s opposition national coalition as “ the legislative representative of the Syrian people”.
RUSSIA
In March  2012,Prime Minister Vladimir Putin wins   Russia's presidential election.Opposition staged massive protests in  several major cities on the conduct of the election ,also independent observers say the election has been marred by widespread fraud.

2012 May - Vladimir Putin is sworn in as president for the third time , appoints Dmitry Medvedev as his prime minister.
Human rights concerns
2012 August – Three members of Russian punk band Pussy Riot were jailed for two years after staging an anti-Vladimir Putin protest in a Moscow cathedral.
Judge Marina Syrova convicted the women of hooliganism motivated by religious hatred, saying they had "crudely undermined social order". US, UK and EU all criticised the sentences as "disproportionate".
Russia became the 156th member of the World Trade Organization following nearly two decades of negotiations.2012 November - Russia redefines treason.Russia enacted a new treason law that will put at risk almost anyone who associates with foreigners.The law broadens the definition of treason to allow Russians representing international organisations to face the charge, as well as citizens working for foreign states and bodies.
 Rights campaigners say the law aims to stop Russians working with Western non-governmental organisations (NGOs).
2012 December - Russia -US relations deteriorated  in December 2012 Washington  blacklisted Russian alleged human rights  violators  as per US Magnitsky ActIn response to that, Russia's upper house of parliament has unanimously backed a bill banning Americans from adopting Russian children and and to stop US-funded NGOs from doing political work in Russia.The bill has been signed by  President Vladimir Putin
US
In 2012 America suffered two mass shootings, a devastating hurricane
2012 January - President Obama unveils a new defence strategy involving budget cuts with greater emphasis on Asia, but insists US will maintain its military superiority.
July Mass Shooting at Colorado Screening of 'Dark Knight Rises'
A gunman opened fire in a theater packed for a midnight showing of a just-released Batman movie, killing at least 12 people and wounding 58 others.
2012 September The US ambassador to Libya and three other embassy staff killed by an armed Islamist mob that stormed and set fire to the United States consulate in Benghazi.

2012 October - Hurricane Sandy hits East Coast, which deluged New York and New Jersey and left more than 100 dead and more than $60 billion worth of damage and losses and caused  prolonged power outages.Throughout the year Americans were also hit by record gas prices.
2012 November - U.S. presidential contest has been abundantly entertaining. President Obama wins re-election by a narrow margin over Republican contender Mitt Romney.
In November CIA Director David Petraeus resigns, cites extramarital affair -
Admitting to the extramarital affair, David Petraeus stepped down as director of the CIA on Friday in a surprise move that shocked the intelligence community just days after President Barack Obama was re-elected.
2012 December - The horrors of the Connecticut school shooting set the stage for a national debate on gun control in the New Year. 20 children and six adults were killed in  a school shootings in Newtown, Connecticut.
US government considers reimposing ban on sale of assault weapons .
The Congress led UPA government in India faced political threat over new economic reforms, including  plans for allowing  Western supermarkets like Walmart  and Tesco to revolutionize  food distribution and set up news storess.The Trinamool Congress a key UPA allay walked out of the coalition reducing the UPA to a minority government  dependent on outside support of Samajwadi party and Bahujan Samaj Party .

It later survived a no –confidence  vote over the issue.
 INDIA
As the Congress led government at the centre survives one crisis after another.Narendra Modi from BJP was re-elected chief minister of Gujarat for the fourth time on the issues of development.

Besides his image as a pro-growth leader and an efficient administrator,Modi is regarded as a prime ministerial candidate  for 2014 Lok Sabha elections..
In Uttar Pradesh, SP won the elections on thumping majority casting shadows over the prospects  of Congress in 2014 elections.

BJP also suffered a major setback  in Karnataka  as former Karnataka chief minister B S yeddyurappa , a strong lingayat leader left BJP and formed his own party Karnataka Janta party. 
Apart from political troubles,India faced world’s largest ever power cut due to northern grid failures. 
India’s northeast witnessed clashes between Asamese tribals and Muslim immigrants that led to a mass exodus of Assamese migrants from major cities  fearing communal riots. 
The hanging of 26/11 convict Ajmal kasab, deportation of his handler Abu Jundal from Saudi Arabia explosions in Pune, arrest of two girls over their Facebook post grabbed the headlines in 2012.
The country witnessed numerous cases of crime against women. But the recent shocking case of gangrape of  a 23-year-old severely rocked the country leading to massive protests by students and activists  demanding death penalty for the rapists.
 

CHINA

China's once-in-a-decade leadership transition took place in 2012  and the ghoulish murder of a British businessman showed the uglier side of Chinese politics 
British businessman  Neil Heywood, a 41-year-old Old Harrovian was murdered in the  end of 2011.22  Bo Xilai's wife 'admits Neil Heywood murder' 
Gu Kailai, the wife of Chinese politician Bo Xilai, along with Zhang Xiaojun, her family aide, was charged for the murder of British businessman Neil Heywood. If convicted for intentional homicide, Kailai may be imprisoned for 10 years to life or face the death penalty.
In september The Communist Party of China on Friday sacked tainted Chongqing boss Bo Xilai; one of its most powerful and influential leaders. Xilai was in line for a major leadership role, before his wife’s complicity in the murder of a British businessman was revealed, one of the most embarrassing scandals in the history of the party.
China’s new leader, Xi Jinping, and others who took power in November China's new leader Xi Jinping today held the first meeting of the ruling Communist Party's Politburo, a day after he was chosen as its General Secretary.
In one of his first speeches to China’s new leaders Mr Xi vowed to crack down on corruption with an “iron fist.” “The future and fate of a party, a regime, is ultimately determined by the support of the masses. We would be eventually defeated if we are divorced from the masses and lose the support of the people,” he said.  
China's new leader, Xi Jinping, appeared to signal a commitment to further liberalizing the economy, and establishing a more accessible public image, when he made his first official visit as Communist Party chief to Shenzhen, the southern city that was an incubator for market reforms over three decades ago.

NORTH KOREA
2012 February - Kim Jong-il is posthumously awarded the highest military title of Generalissimo - the same rank held by his father, Kim Il-sung.
Army pledges loyalty to his successor, Kim Jong-un, in a mass parade held to mark the 70th anniversary of Kim Jong-il's birth.
2012 April - Kim Jong-un formally takes over ruling party leadership, becoming First Secretary of the Workers Party.
The launch of a "rocket-mounted satellite" to mark the birthday of Kim Il-Sung fails.
2012 July - Army head Ri Yong-ho is removed from senior posts in the ruling party, and leader Kim Jong-un appoints himself to the highest rank of marshal.

In august 2012 North Korea suffered devastating floods on a biblical scale.With a decrepit economy, North korea  received  the heaviest rainfall in 39 years, 169 people had died and more than 200,000 had lost their homes. Some 65,000 hectares of farmland had been inundated, exacerbating the chronic food shortage the country has endured since famine killed as many as 1m people in the 1990s.
North Korea already had a chronic food shortage, leaving it especially vulnerable when disasters strike.  
DECEMBER
North Korea Launches Rocket in a Defiant Act
North Korea launched its three-stage Unha-3 rocket into space on December 12, insisting it was a purely scientific mission aimed at putting a polar-orbiting satellite in space, but critics say it was aimed at nurturing the kind of technology needed to mount a nuclear warhead on a long-range missile. 

Several countries and international bodies, including the UN Security Council, condemned the North's rocket launch as a disguised ballistic missile test that violates UN resolutions imposed on the country after it conducted nuclear tests in 2006 and 2009.
IRAN 
2012 January -  United States and the EU imposed new sanctions on Iran’s oil and financial sectors with the goal of preventing other countries from purchasing Iranian oil and conducting transactions with the Central Bank of Iran.Iranian threatens to block the transport of oil through the Strait of Hormuz.

The United Nations' nuclear watchdog agency confirmed that uranium enrichment has begun at a nuclear facility in northern Iran.Iran begins  uranium enrichment at the Fordo facility at the height of the threats by foreign enemies

The European Union imposes an oil embargo on Iran over its nuclear programme.

2012 February - International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors leave Iran after being denied access to the Parchin site, south of Tehran.

US, British and French warships pass unhindered through the Strait of Hormuz.
2012 March-May - Supporters of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei defeated supporters of  President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in parliamentary polls boycotted by pro-reform groups.Ayatollah Khamenei’s allies had won about 75 percent of the 200 seats in those districts,Prominent Khamenei loyalists who won seats include parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani and Gholam Ali Haddad Adel, whose daughter is married to the supreme leader's son.

2012 May - UN nuclear inspectors  find traces of uranium enriched at 27% at Iran's Fordo nuclear site and doubled the number of centrifuges for enriching uranium, a day after Iran and world powers hold inconclusive talks on Iran's nuclear programme in Baghdad.

 Israel  increased pressure on President Obama to attack the site, suggesting that it will if he won't. 
2012 June - US exempts seven countries  - India, South Korea, Malaysia, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Taiwan and Turkey - from economic sanctions in return for their cutting imports of Iranian oil.
2012 July - European Union boycott of Iranian oil exports comes into effect.
2012 September - International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) quarterly report says Iran doubles production capacity at Fordo nuclear site and "significantly hampered" IAEA ability to inspect Parchin military site.

Canada breaks off diplomatic relations over Iran's nuclear programme and support for the Assad government in Syria.
2012 October - Iranian rial falls to a new record low against the US dollar, having lost about losing 80% of its value since 2011 because of international sanctions. Riot police attack about 100 currency traders outside the Central Bank.
EU countries announce further sanctions against Iran over its nuclear programme, focusing on banks, trade and crucial gas imports. 
2012 November - Leaked IAEA report says Iran is ready to double output at the Fordo underground uranium enrichment facility. Iran has 2,784 centrifuges there, and numbers operating could soon be increased from 700 to 1,400, the UN watchdog says.

PAKISTAN
2012 January - Amid growing tension between government and military over "memogate" scandal, army chief Gen Pervez Kayani warns of "unpredictable consequences" after PM Yousuf Raza Gilani criticises army leaders and sacks top defence official.The decision comes during intense friction between the civilian government and the powerful military over memogate scandal

Supreme Court threatens to prosecute Prime Minister Gilani for contempt of court over government's refusal to reopen corruption cases against President Asif Ali Zardari and other political figures.

2012 May - US senate committee has voted to cut Pakistan's aid by $1m for each of the 33 years of a prison sentence given to a doctor Shakil Afridi   who helped CIA find Al qaeda chief  Osama bin Laden. Dr Afridi was tried for treason under a tribal justice system for running a fake vaccination programme to gather information for US intelligence.

The arrest of Rimsha, a Christian girl, prompted protests against blasphemy laws  

2012 June - Pakistan was thrown into fresh political turmoil after the country Supreme Court disqualified prime minister Yousuf Raza Gilani from holding office after he declines to appeal against a token sentence in President Zardari corruption row. Parliament approves Water and Power Minister Raja Pervez Ashraf as his successor.

2012 July - Pakistan agrees to reopen Nato supply routes to Afghanistan after the US apologises for killing 24 Pakistani soldiers in November.

2012 September –Khalid Chishti, Pakistani Muslim Cleric Arrested For Planting Evidence On Rimsha Masih, Christian Girl Arrested For Blasphemy

 Muslim cleric Khalid Chishti is arrested on suspicion of planting pages of the Koran among burnt paper in the bag of a Christian girl, who was briefly detained for blasphemy after an angry mob demanded her punishment. A court dropped the case against the Christian girl in November. 

2012 October - Cricketer-turned-politician Imran Khan holds a major rally against US drone attacks in the town of Tank after security forces stop his thousands-strong motorcade from entering the Tribal Areas on the Afghan border. 

Taliban gunmen seriously injure 14-year-old campaigner for girls' rights Malala Yousafzai.. They said she had been targeted because she "promoted secularism".

2012 November - Taliban suicide bomber kills at least 23 people at a Shia Muslim procession in the Rawalpindi. Another 62 people were hurt. Blasts outside a Shia mosque in Karachi kill at least two people, and a bomb in Quetta leaves five dead, as Shias mark their holy month of Muharram. 
JAPAN  
2012 May - Exports rise 10% on the year, the largest increase in 17 months.This eases concerns about the impact of a global slowdown on the economy.  

2012 June - Japan's lower house of parliament approved a bill to double the sales tax, bringing Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda closer to winning his flagship policy for fiscal reform, but at the cost of a ruling-party rebellion .Mr. Noda is Japan's sixth prime minister in six years, and the first in many years to push such divisive legislation through parliament.The governing Democratic Party splits, but retains its lower house majority.

2012 July - Japan restarts the Ohi nuclear reactor, the first since the meltdown at the Fukushima power plant last year, amid local protests.
 
2012 August - Japan's economic growth slows to 0.3% from 1% in the second quarter as eurozone crisis hits exports and domestic consumption.
Japan recalls its ambassador to Seoul in protest at a visit to the Liancourt Rocks by South Korean President Lee Myung-bak. Both countries claim the islets, which Japan calls Takeshima and South Korea calls Dokdo.  
2012 October - A government audit reports that funds intended for reconstruction after the 2011 earthquake and tsunami were spent on unrelated projects, including roads on Okinawa, an advertising campaign for Japan's tallest building, and support for whaling research.
 2012 December - Opposition conservative Liberal Democratic Party wins landslide in early parliamentary elections. Former prime minister Shinzo Abe forms government.
  Japan's parliament elected Shinzo Abe as the nation's prime minister on Wednesday, ending three years of rule by liberal administrations and bringing back to power the conservative, pro-big business party that has run Japan for most of the post-World War II era.

SOUTH CHINA SEA
 Tensions over the disputed  islands intensified in 2012  as the Japanese government announced it planned to buy three of the islands still owned by a Japanese citizen. While Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda of Japan said he had made the purchase to prevent the islands from falling into the hands of Tokyo’s nationalist governor.Beijing sent surveillance ships to challenge the move, igniting old tensions in a long simmering dispute.
 China cancels ceremonies to mark the 40th anniversary of restored diplomatic relations with Japan because of a public flare-up in a dispute over ownership of a group of islands in the East China Sea administered by Japan as the Senkaku Islands and claimed by China as the Diaoyu Islands. Taiwan also claims the islands. 
They are known as Senkaku in Japan and Diaoyu in China, and both countries claim the islands are theirs.

Street demonstrations were held  in China in which Japanese businesses were ransacked and burned, and a continuing informal boycott of Japanese goods has helped depress Japan’s overall trade performance and its gross domestic product numbers.

Chinese ships — four belonging to a maritime surveillance agency and two fisheries patrol ships — had entered waters claimed by Japan near the islands Japan responded by dispatching dozens of coast guard vessels to waters near the islands, where they are on the lookout for paramilitary ships and fishing boats from China as well as from Taiwan, which also claims the islands.
Both sides argue about fishing rights and about natural gas and oil exploration.

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