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May 11, 2013

China’s new twist to the border issue

Indian Foreign minister Salman Khurshid ‘s visit to Beijing has revealed a new twist given by China to the entire China-India border demarcation issue.

Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi has in fact shown his  country’s insistence on a new border settlement that would seek a fair and reasonable  solution to safeguard their  strategic geopolitical  interests  in the area  and till  then to jointly maintain peace and tranquility along the border.

It is noteworthy  that China  has just  undergone
a major change in its leadership and the intrusion  within 19 KM of Indian side of LAC has naturally been made to highlight this issue. 

This appears to be a part and parcel of Chinese assertiveness like in the South and East China Sea  to create awe in its neighbouring countries. It may also reveal its desire  and ambitions to carve out its geopolitical strategic areas in view of  changing scenario in  the region comprising  Pakistan-Afghanistan—Central Asia to support its increasing economic influence in the area/ region.   Thanks to India’s dragging along  in a weak-kneed policy  towards China right from the border war of 1962 that had a chilling effect on India’s endeavors to revamp its defence policy  in this region as China is occupying 38,000 square kilometers (15,000 square miles) of territory in the Aksai Chin plateau in the western Himalayas and now claims  around 90,000 square kilometers (35,000 square miles) of land in India's northeastern state of Arunachal Pradesh.


Awakened by China’s recent assertiveness, countries like Australia, Japan and South Korea as well as  others in Indo-Pacific region  are forming formidable naval linkages to deal with the situation . It would be in the fitness of things if India also actively engages  with the said US allies to create a formidable  challenge  to the China’s navy.

Historically, China seldom had any  strategic military presence  in the Indian Ocean and even much less  in the region from Afghanistan to Mid east  that borders Mediterranean sea.



Recent incursion by the People's Liberation Army troops in the Ladakh region and their refusal to withdraw inside their own side of LAC  inspite of three flag meetings was even more serious  in view of violation  of mechanism  laid down under  the mandate of  2005 whereby  with the face to face situation neither side  shall use force  or threaten to use force against the other.

It was only  when the tense  situation attained political dimensions  with Indian foreign minister traveling to Beijing  on 9th May to discuss the matter  with the China's new Premier Li Keqiang, the ending of standoff was made possible. Though Indian prime minister Manmohan Singh and the local commanders of Indian army  initially thought of  it as a localized situation  at some army level  perception,the Indian side analysts lately became suspicious , due to their prolonged stay and began attributing it to some planning at some higher political level.

Chinese incursions  clearly indicates  that  “Chinese leadership’ is intent upon materially altering the LAC to suitably enable  their  geopolitical  strategic  ambitions/ interest to materialize  in the Jammu and Kashmir area.

Chinese leadership has  often been resorting  to  constantly  changing positions.China , for instance  denied a proper visa to the then Northern Army commander Lt General  BS Jaswal in july 2010 on the ground  that he was commanding forces  in the  disputed and sensitive region of J&K, Thereafter all bilateral military engagements were frozen. After  the Indian and Chinese armies ,had undertaken  the first two  Hind in Hand exercises in Kuuming (China) in 2007 and Belgaum in 2008,the third edition of the   Hand- in-Hand counter  terrorism  exercise  has still not taken place even after a lapse of five years.


 To make matters worse,China claims around  90,000 Square kilometers  of land  in India’s northeastern state of Arunachal Pradesh while India says China is occupying 38,000 square Km of territory in the Aksai Chin plateau in the  western Himalayas.Though the two  sides have held  15 round of talks to resolve  their border disputes , no worthwhile  progress  has been achieved. Scarier still China is a longtime ally and weapons supplier to India’s bitter rival-Pakistan.



India needs to increase its defence budget manifold to deal with  this challenge  and also act drastically to stamp out corruption in the defence  deals.India should also act quickly to attract  foreign  investments in the defence  production sector on a priority basis.

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