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Dec 16, 2013

Afghanistan president Karzai ignores US,seeks India's support post 2014;Delhi reluctant

As the stalemate over the contentious US-Afghan bilateral security agreement continues,Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai is intensely engaged in diplomatic talks with India  and Iran.

Even after Loya Jirga comprising 2500 elderly and influential Afghans concerted to allowing  a  residual about 8,000 American combat troops  and 6,000 allied troops to stay back to oversee the Afghanistan security  situation to ensure  that it may not at any time suddenly spin out of control Afghan president Karzai, suddenly refused  to sign the agreement  to that effect  stating this  document was indeed  to be signed by his successor after the elections of April 2014.

Karzai further accuses US threatening  to abandon Afghanistan after 2014 in the event of not signing the BSA agreement that may potentially lead to civil war  in the country,as it did when Russians withdrew after its occupation in 1990s of the last century.

His move has infuriated Washington which says without a deal in place it will be impossible to plan for a post-2014 presence set to help train Afghan security forces.

Karzai has since than undertaken intense  diplomatic moves in Pakistan,Iran and was currently on four days visit  to India  in his said endeavour.

The two conditions  that are prerequisites for Karzai's  endorsement of the security pact  are---United States  must agree to end raids on Afghan homes and help restart the stalled peace talks with the Afghan Taliban


India vehemently desires  to deepen its influence in Afghanistan but declined  to supply any lethal weapons as it may adversely effect  its goodwill in that country.Delhi has however acceded  to supply non-lethal equipment like transport helicopters ,trucks etc  that may assist developmental and societal efforts  in that country..India has tremendous desire to see Afghanistan grow in its  onward march in this region after 2014 elections.

Karzai’s refusal  might have been prompted by his desires  to ensure against his country’s slipping into a civil- war-like situation   .In case US troops  withdraw  leaving a vaccum but he would be wise enough not to raise his eyebrows at the US that have  already squandered huge resources to restore law and order in that country.


US is also contemplating involving Abdullah Abdullah and other leaders that may emerge  after the elections to sign this agreement  to avoid any eventuality.

The dangers of Talibans after the elections however remain  real and will have to be addressed adequately even by involving Pakistan  to control lawless Waziristan belt on his borders with Afghanistan.
 


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